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Wes’s Random Rants and Raves

 

            My little policy and op-ed section.  I promise I’ll make this searchable when I have the time and wherewithal to introduce an intrasite search engine; for now, just scroll down the list of links below to read the topic that you’re interested in, or use the Ctrl-F option to search for keywords on this page (Social Security, Iraq, environment, and so on).

 

Golden Arches and the Goose that Lays the Golden Egg:  Subsidizing Humane Treatment of Farm Animals

 

A brief entry about the “Certified Humane” labels that have been appearing (since 2004) on animal-derived products in your neighborhood grocery store.  There’s been a concerted industry-driven effort to establish and oblige strict compliance with a set of practices designed to minimize the suffering and improve the experience of farm animals that provide us with meat and dairy products.  But this will be of little avail unless the consumer supports the effort.  This is my little plea for support on the consumer side of things.

 

The Extraordinary Heroism of Ordinary People

 

The sight of courageous Port Authority Police and New York firefighters, charging into the smoldering Twin Towers after the attacks of September 11, 2001, astonished many people, in large part because we just don't expect such voluntary, unheralded, in-the-line-of-duty heroism to occur much in the real world. And yet we saw it in spades on that day. It's actually much more common than we often appreciate, and its fact is something that we take for granted, fading to the background, as it were. Even if this jaundiced, often cynical day and age, when we've come to anticipate and brace for the worst in people, we should remember that for the vast majority of the time, the vast majority of people do their jobs competently, unwavering, and often, even heroically.

 

Nuclear Weapons and the Modern Arsenal of a Civilized Nation: A Realist’s Perspective

 

Nuclear weapons are probably the most useless, expensive, dangerous, and counterproductive components of a modern superpower’s arsenal.  Nope, that’s not a misprint—for all their hi-tech ooh-aah potential and Freudian symbols of potency, nukes are peculiarly lousy weapons on any real battlefield.  They are grossly imprecise and the dumbest of dumb weapons, afflicting an enormous radius and causing enormous civilian damage and suffering far beyond any military gain.  They ruin a nation for occupiers and deprive both sides of any economic gains, due to the lingering effects of radioactive fallout.  Furthermore, we in the US have the additional, not-so-slight problem that we and Russia still point thousands of nukes at each other’s cities, ready to be launched within minutes.  There is the prospect of an accidental launch which, in 1983 and 1995, nearly did occur due to computer and clerical errors; and there is also the prospect of a religious fanatic, fired by zealotry, launching the nukes as a fulfillment of personal beliefs (and compelling subordinates to do the same).  As history has shown, political leaders of a nation often behave irrationally, and the rational-state assumption of the mutually assured destruction (MAD) doctrine, which keeps US and Russian nukes pointed at each other, is perhaps the doctrine’s most serious flaw.  Indeed, with our conventional power and increasingly advanced technology, nukes are almost useless to us or any other civilized nation; conversely, they are a dream weapon for terrorists who simply wish to cause as much damage to civilian populations as possible.  The only value of nuclear arms would be as a deterrent, yet in this regard we would benefit far more from a strategic posture like that adopted by most other nuclear nations, with 20-30 nuclear devices used to ward off potential invaders.  Otherwise, we would best serve our military and our national defense by focusing our financial and human resources on increasing the precision of our weapons and ensuring they cause as little damage to civilian populations as possible.  If the brutal business of war must be implemented, best to make it as rapid and precise as possible.

 

How The Bomb Destroyed US Democracy: Nuclear Weapons and the Stealth Dictatorship of the Executive

 

An extended version of an article submitted to antiwar.com, this essay focuses specifically on the clear and present danger posed by the US-Russian nuclear posture to the viability of democracy in the United States.  Because of the sheer size of our arsenal, and the ludicrous time constraints imposed by the launch-on-warning doctrine, the US President is rendered virtual carte blanche over launch decisions involving nuclear weapons.  He can receive advice from Strategic Nuclear Forces officers but he ultimately has sole discretion over the launch authorization, and could even do so offensively (in addition to the customary retaliatory scenario), essentially on a whim.  There is a gross and appalling absence of checks and balances to review this decision, a chasm present virtually nowhere else in the government.  Yet, such a decision would be of far greater importance than any other our government could make.  Therefore, the US President has essentially been vested with the powers of a dictator.  This article explores how we arrived at this disastrous juncture, and what can be done to remedy it.  Excerpts of this article (for cross-referencing elsewhere), on the very concrete dangers of nuclear arms and specific steps to improve our nuclear doctrines, are also provided here.

 

The Waterloo of Western Colonial Powers: The Muslim World’s Decisive Role as Determinant of the Geopolitical Map, and the Relevance of Iraq in 2005

 

In the history of the colonial wars of the 19th and 20th centuries, Britain, France, and Italy were defeated on numerous occasions by indigenous armies.  In no part of the world did their attempts at colonization suffer so much difficulty than in the Muslim world.  The British in particular suffered many disastrous defeats at the hands of opponents in Arab and Muslim lands, while the French endured one of their country’s most painful periods in the dirty war against the Algerians in the 1960s, which led ultimately to defeat.  The Italians themselves suffered defeat at the hands of largely Muslim Ethiopia in 1896, at the Battle of Adowa.  In more recent decades, the USSR was in many ways undone by the Soviet Union’s disastrous intervention in Afghanistan from 1979-1988, in which the Russians confronted a tenacious and skilled guerrilla insurgency which drained the Russian treasury and was integral to the Soviet break-up and decline in 1991. 

 

In each of these cases, the Muslim world has taken on a fascinating centrality:  Although the Arab and Muslim states were far too debilitated, fractious, divided, destitute, and technologically backward to themselves rise up as great powers, their propensity to trap colonial powers in draining, difficult, and extremely expensive wars—which in general resulted in eventual defeat for the Western imperialist in question—profoundly affected the balance of power among nations and alliances that could vie for such supremacy.  Thus serial British disasters in Afghanistan in the 1800s effectively enabled Russia to incorporate Central Asia into its sphere of control, while British failures in Egypt, Iraq, and Aden hastened the collapse of the British Empire and led to the eventual expulsion of British forces from the oil-rich Middle East—to be replaced by competing factions supported by the US and USSR.  Afghan resistance to the Soviets in the 1980s, meanwhile, was instrumental in the ascendancy of the United States as the world’s sole superpower in the 1990s.  Now, we see this motif in evidence once again, as the United States itself suffers in battles against opponents in Muslim countries who see the US as an imperial aggressor.  Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaeda organization, and the Iraqi insurgents in particular, have launched a protracted and draining campaign to evict US forces from the Middle East.  While the Iraqi guerrillas are themselves far too weak to ascend as global powers, they are causing enough misery for the USA to affect the global balance of power.  Since the enormously costly Iraqi insurgency is taking place in the context of the appearance of the Euro as an alternative reserve currency in 1999, as well as the propensity of the current US Administration to finance the war with debt (and the concurrent interest of leading neoconservatives to expand the war still further), the Iraqi insurgents are effectively bleeding the US Treasury even as they bleed our military, so much so that the dollar is progressively declining as an international currency of choice.  The Iraqi fighters are thus in essence tipping the global balance of power in favor of America’s main competitors:  the EU, India, and China.  While there will probably (and hopefully) not be precipitous collapses or economic upheavals, the dollar is losing its dominance, as are the English language and American culture in general.  This discussion is instructive since our current problems ensue from our own errors and miscalculations as much as our determined adversaries in Iraq, yet it appears that the pattern is manifesting itself once again:  The Iraqi guerrillas are effectively changing the current global power arrangement.

 

Bin Laden’s Triumph??

 

            The unusually voluble terrorist leader spelled out his grim plan in one of his videotapes just before the US election in November of 2004.  He cares little about US freedom and democracy, and does not harbor fantasies of a conquest or mass conversion of the USA.  His objective was far more simple and just as devastating:  He stated an intention to bankrupt the United States.  Mistakes by leaders and high officials of both parties in the US have opened the path for Osama bin Laden to realize his dreadful aspiration.  With the ongoing quagmire in Iraq in 2005, a new invasion apparently on tap for Iran, and the increasing shift away from the dollar as the world’s reserve currency, we are walking right into bin Laden’s trap, a ruse expressly designed to draw in the US and ensnare us in a protracted and draining clash against a guerrilla insurgency that threatens to bankrupt our treasury and lead us even deeper into the swamp.

 

 

On the Blatant Misuse of the Concepts of Entropy and Darwin’s Theory in Popular Discourse

 

Concepts from the natural sciences often wend their way into completely unrelated debates about anthropology or social and foreign policy, frequently as a way for an apologist on one side or another to appear more erudite, and to buttress controversial claims with the supposed sanction of a principle from the empirical-based natural sciences.  The concept of entropy, from thermodynamics, and of survival of the fittest, from Darwinian evolutionary theory in biology, have frequently performed such double duty.  Unfortunately, these two concepts are also almost always misunderstood and grossly misrepresented in popular discourse, even by many scientists who participate in such debates.  Their actual meanings and implications are far more subtle and surprising than a cursory glance or a superficial rendition of them would suggest.  This article discusses their meanings and the ramifications thereof in greater detail.

 

 

Discretion is the Better Part of Valor:  Cloning and Genomic Manipulation in the Brave New World

 

A brief article laying out my thoughts on human cloning and eugenic germline manipulation.  I confronted these issues in depth for the first time in my essay, “Confronting our Souls in the Mirror,” in Volume VI (2000) of Vision.  My views have changed somewhat but my core concerns remain, and they must be confronted.  I delve into the salient topics in this article.

 

EconomyopiaThe Persistent Failure to Gauge the True Costs of Petroleum Dependence in the United States

 

Earnest discussions about US energy policy and heartfelt pleas to more aggressively exploit renewable energy schemes—like wind, solar, geothermal, and tidal sources—to supplant fossil fuels often end on a note of despondence and resignation.  Too often, proponents of alternative energy fall victim to the classic conversation-stopper:  Renewable energy sources just aren’t cost-effective compared to good ol’ fashioned sweet crude from the oil wells, and are far too expensive to be practically implemented.  This assumption is false and based on a grossly skewed tally of costs and benefits, since it takes into account only the easily quantified and immediate expenses of oil extraction, refinement, and transport; it generally does not consider the true geopolitical costs to the US of relying so fundamentally on oil and natural gas that happen to reside beneath the sands of the some of the world’s most unstable countries, especially in the Muslim Middle East, with all the attendant costs of military stationings in the region and the resulting perception of foreign occupation (and terrorist attacks as a response).  The genuine expenses of fossil fuel reliance do not show up on any company’s balance sheet, and the net effect is that US policymakers too often drag their feet on renewable fuel development and promotion, blissfully ignorant of the tremendous long-term damage we are already suffering because of our abject dependence on foreign oil.  The way any sensible government remedies such a discrepancy—in a manner that reflects true costs and benefits—is through incentives like tax breaks and low-interest loans to entrepreneurs and utilities that exploit renewable fuels and encourage conservation.  However, our shocking failure to do so in the US—especially when compared to pioneers like Germany, Denmark, Japan, China, and India—will leave us vulnerable to economic disruption and political breakdown in the 21st century.  We have to escape the trap of economyopia and face up to the true costs of our reliance on fossil fuels. 

 

 

Wes's Iraq Section

 

A short collection of articles on Gulf War II in Iraq, initiated by the Bush Administration in the US against the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein and (from mid-April 2003 onward) against a shadowy collection of former Baathists, Iraqi nationalists, Islamists, foreign Islamic fighters (from Europe as well as from neighboring and nearby Middle Eastern countries), and al-Qaeda engaging in battle against Coalition forces.  I’ve been skeptical about this war from the outset, but I’ve tried to play the part of dutiful policy wonk here and be as analytical as possible about the historical roots and Byzantine politics of the Iraq conflict.  In the process, I offer a perspective on Iraq, backed by its little-discussed history and the previous British colonial occupation of the region in the 1920s, that doesn’t fit well into the hawk-vs.-dove categories usually offered up the media.  Although opposed to the war, I reject mere sniping and attempt to suggest productive solutions in my articles here.

 

 

© Wes Ulm (J. Wesley Ulm) (Jacob Ulm), Harvard University Personal Website, 2003-

 

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